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Five Steps to Identifying Market Validation

2 min read Five Steps to Identifying Market Validation (and the one key criteria that counts). Angel investors look for market validation in a startup before investing. Fundamentally, this means that the entrepreneur has found a market with a need. But how to validate a market segment? There are 5 key criteria that Investors will look for, and one key that provides the “acid test”, indicating you have found one. Identify the Target Market Write out a specific definition of your target market segment and how it fits in the overall market. Set up a list of objectives you want to learn from the research. Build the Question Set Using an online or email survey to ask no more than five questions. In an interview, up to ten questions capture a good amount of information. Match each question to your objectives. Test the Question Set Send the question set to five friends. Ask them to fill it out and then give you feedback on the wording. You can also check their responses to see if it addresses your question. Roll up the responses and see if the results answer your objectives. Conduct the Interviews/Surveys In an email survey, you will receive most of the responses you’re going to get in about 2 to 3 days. After that, the responses drop off dramatically. In the survey, you may want to ask if you can contact them for further questioning. This may give you additional contacts to interview. Analyze the Data Review the raw data yourself. It’s surprising how often the same set of data can generate completely different results from different reviewers. While surveys and interviews can help validate the market, the one criteria that counts more than anything else is: “Will the customer buy the product/service?” Generating revenue, even at a small scale, says a great deal about your market’s need for the product. This is important because when investors review deals, one of the first questions that come up is “Do they have revenue?” If the answer is “yes” then you’re in the “to be considered” category. Read more from the TEN Capital Network: https://staging.startupfundingespresso.com/education/ Hall T. Martin is the founder and CEO of the TEN Capital Network. TEN Capital has been connecting startups with investors for over ten years. You can connect with Hall about fundraising, business growth, and emerging technologies via LinkedIn or email: hallmartin@tencapital.group

Market Valuation Methods

3 min read There are many different Market Valuation Methods, but which one is right for you? As a startup, you must determine your target valuation. Several methods can be used to accomplish this, and different ways work better for various companies. We have described each market valuation method below so that you can decide which is best for you. Market Comp Look at similar companies to yours that have recently raised funding to guide your valuation selection. Start with Crunchbase. Look up companies in your industry and sector to find out their fundraiser. Take the funding amount and divide by 0.2 or 0.3 to get the post-money valuation. Using 0.2 yields the high end of the range, while 0.3 yields the low end of the spectrum. Subtract the funding amount from the post-money to get the pre-money valuation. Step Up This method uses ten factors. Each factor adds $250K to the valuation. You may give partial credit for items that have some progress made. Factors include: The total market size is over $500M. The business model scales well. Founders have significant experience. More than one founder is committed full-time. MVP is developed, and customer development is underway. The business model is validated by paying customers. Significant industry partnerships have been signed. Execution roadmap has been developed and is being achieved. IP has been issued, or technology is protected. The competitive environment is favorable. Risk Mitigation This method assigns dollar values to the startup’s accomplishments in four categories: Technology, Market, Execution, and Capital. Technology Risk Mitigation Prototype developed 3rd party validation IP filed Market Risk Mitigation Market research Early adopter program in place Channel partners established Execution Risk Mitigation Experienced founders Prior exit Detailed execution roadmap in place Capital Risk Mitigation Early funding Angel Rounds Needed Add up all the values to get your pre-money valuation. VC Quick This method assumes the exit value your startup is being acquired for and works backward to calculate what your startup must be worth now. Estimate your exit value using industry trends or by using Price/ Earnings multiples. Calculate the post-money valuation. Calculate the pre-money valuation. Calculate the equity percentage owned by the investors. Venture Capital The Venture Capital method of valuation uses a discounted cash flow combined with a multiples-based valuation. The valuation takes into account cash flows in a best case, medium case, and worst-case scenario and then uses an industry multiple to set the anticipated sell price. The cash flows and exit price are discounted, giving three valuations – one for each scenario. Each is assigned a probability giving the final value with a probability-weighted sum of the three. Liquidation In this valuation method, the exit value is set to the value of the business at liquidation- the value of all assets minus liabilities, which values the business primarily for physical assets and branding. When you sell the business for assets only, it’s often about 10% of what you could have sold it for if it were an ongoing business. 5X Your Raise Most investors want to see the valuation for their money coming in at 20%-25% of the post-money valuation giving a 4-5X valuation based on the investment. For example, using 4X raising $500K, a $500K investment plus $1.5M pre-money yields a $2M post-money valuation. Using this method gives you a ballpark estimate for setting the valuation of your raise. Which Works Best? Does one of the valuation tools listed above stand out as the one for your business? Let us know which one and why in the comments below. Read more in the TEN Capital eGuide: https://staging.startupfundingespresso.com/negotiations-and-valuations/ Hall T. Martin is the founder and CEO of the TEN Capital Network. TEN Capital has been connecting startups with investors for over ten years. You can connect with Hall about fundraising, business growth, and emerging technologies via LinkedIn or email: hallmartin@tencapital.group

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